Uncertainty Cycle®

Help your company navigate and manage uncertain environments, allowing for adaptation, growth, and, above all, agility in transforming your business.

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Logo Uncertainty Cycle workshop

Uncertainty Cycle® is Ricardo Vargas' workshop on uncertainty management. As a team, the participants will learn an innovative process of managing the unknown through an iterative and agile model.

The workshop is based on concepts of PESTLE, scenario thinking, DevOps, business agility, and SAFe® (ScaleAgile Framework).

Target Audience

The audience of the Uncertainty Cycle® workshop comprises executives, strategic planning teams, investment planners, risk managers, digital transformation leaders, and project managers. All who are involved in activities need quick assessment and decision-making to respond efficiently to conditions imposed by the market and external factors.

Structure

Over a seminar day, participants are divided into teams to support Tiger Screws, a fictional screws and connectors factory with global operations. Each team must analyze and map external scenarios based on the company's strategic direction based on variables, and uncertainties.

Upon receiving the strategic direction for the next cycle of work, the participants will choose the analysis scenario to determine uncertainty variables that will be monitored using PESTLE.

Then, using Scenario Planning, 2x2 modeling, and Structured What-If Technique (SWIFT), they will develop actions that seek to respond and adapt the business to a volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous (VUCA) environment.

Testimonials

“I really appreciate what Ricardo Vargas is doing on the popularization of project management. This course gave some tips on how to enhance my PM career.”

Adilbek Bulatov Linkedin

Head of Architecture development department - Zerde National Infocommunicational holding JSC

“Great. Very excited short but huge amount of information when it comes processes. I learned something I did not learn before. How the processes relate to each other. And What they same in simple way.”

Mohamed Osman, PMP® Linkedin

Operation Manager - Dirham Trading Com

“As a teacher in project management for seasoned professionals (master in engineering and leadership), is always useful to share experiential material that outstanding professionals like Ricardo talk about how to project authentically your professional life, leaving your individual brand and differentiate from others through contributions. I read a remarkable book that helped me in that purpose:”

“...e: "How will you measure your life", by Clayton Christensen, and "Usted S.A." from Inés Temple: Personal brand is projected through your actions (u omissions), where reflections and lessons learned are the key legacies if well adopted allow us to project our best human side. Hard skills are learned by repetition, but soft ones come if we accept that losses and failures come from our lack of wisdom and we are eager to change starting by touching our hearts (empathy and compassion).”