Risk Management

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Podcasts

Three Things to Keep in Mind While Managing the Crisis With the Rain in the South of Brazil

In this podcast, Ricardo discusses the severe flooding crisis in Southern Brazil, emphasizing three key points. First, focus on immediate rescue and safety, not on blame. Authorities should prioritize evacuating people, providing basic needs, and ensuring shelters. Second, protect the vulnerable, such as women and children, from potential abuse in chaotic environments by maintaining security and organizing safe shelters.

Podcasts

From Plans to Pandemonium: A Project Manager's Home Move Journey

In this episode, Ricardo talks about his recent adventure of moving homes. He shares insights from selling his old house and buying a new one, planning the move for a less busy time, and the unexpected turn of events when he decided to renovate his new apartment. The journey, filled with planning and chaos, offers a unique perspective on project management applied to personal life.

Podcasts

AI and Misinformation at the Top of the World Economic Forum Global Risk Report 2024

In this week's episode, Ricardo addresses the Global Risk Report recently released by the World Economic Forum. He emphasizes and validates some clear risks, such as climate change and extreme weather, as well as long-term risks, noting that although they are not new, they are reaching a critical point of no return. Beyond the immediate risks, there is something he talks and posts about almost every week:

Podcasts

How the Calculation of the Risk's Expected Monetary Value Can Mislead Our Project Reserves

In this episode, Ricardo discusses the common practice of calculating Expected Monetary Value (EMV) for risk management. EMV involves multiplying the probability of a risk by its impact to determine the exposure and, in turn, the financial reserves needed. He points out that using EMV for risk reserves is only effective when managing a large portfolio of risks as an insurance company does.

Podcasts

Is there Something to Learn from Bayes' Theorem That Will Change Your Perceptions of Risks?

In this episode, Ricardo explores the practical facets of Bayesian thinking, demonstrating how previous events and knowledge can reshape our evaluation of future risks. In his discussion, he avoids complex formulas, highlighting the theorem's real-world implications. He also underscores the significance of 'triggers,' events or facts that provide additional information, refining our grasp of probabilities.

Podcasts

Trust Me, We Can Control Much Less Than We Think

Ricardo talks about the predictions we make for our projects and initiatives in this week's episode. He explains that we frequently have an illusion of control and that the perception of future reality is significantly more complicated than reality itself. Professor Philip Tetlock found that only 45 percent of almost 30,000 predictions made by various professionals were accurate.

Podcasts

Why We Must Expand the Moral Hazard Concept to our Projects and Initiatives

In this week's episode, Ricardo talks about moral hazards. He exemplifies the recent collapse of the North American financial system when the Silicon Valley Bank closed its doors. From then on, a debate arose about the extent to which the government should interfere, with the emergence of moral hazard, because if the government helps, other banks will also have this right.

Podcasts

Would you Attempt to Predict the Top 10 Global Risks for 2023?

This week, Ricardo discusses the 18th edition of the Global Risk Report, published annually by the World Economic Forum. This report presents a ranking of global risks and threats, both short-term and long-term. From an operational standpoint, the project or initiatives we are working on can be severely impacted by events that happen far away. Ricardo draws a parallel between the positioning of our project from the global perspective.

Podcasts

The Year in Review and What to Expect of 2023

This episode concludes the 2022 podcast series as Ricardo looks back on the year's events. Ricardo says that 2022 was, in some ways, a different year. Maybe because we recently emerged from the lockdown situation caused by Covid, society stayed in something like a "limbo" state. In particular, he emphasizes three noteworthy aspects of the year 2022: The first is about unpredictability:

Podcasts

Directly from the PMI Summit 2022 in Las Vegas

This week, Ricardo talks about the PMI Summit 2022 in Las Vegas, the world's premier project management conference. He talks about the energy of being with thousands of people and networking opportunities. Keynote speaker Amy Webb discussed emerging trends in project management in her opening address to the congress. While giving her presentation, Amy Webb brought up the following points: