Decision Making

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Mastering the Balance: Exploration and Exploitation in Artificial Intelligence Projects

In this episode of the 5 Minutes Podcast, Ricardo discusses the crucial balance between exploration and exploitation in the context of AI and business. Exploration involves researching and innovating, similar to analyzing multiple doors to understand the best option. However, at some point, organizations must shift to exploitation, applying their findings to achieve efficiency and profitability.


Where everyone thinks alike, no one thinks very much

In this episode, Ricardo discusses how the film "The Social Network" prompted him to think creatively. By encouraging people to focus on novel concepts rather than mundane routines, he reinforces the importance of escaping the conformity cycle. Ricardo argues that in order to improve one's creative and problem-solving abilities, one should seek out varied experiences, break out of patterns, and meet individuals with different viewpoints.


From Plans to Pandemonium: A Project Manager's Home Move Journey

In this episode, Ricardo talks about his recent adventure of moving homes. He shares insights from selling his old house and buying a new one, planning the move for a less busy time, and the unexpected turn of events when he decided to renovate his new apartment. The journey, filled with planning and chaos, offers a unique perspective on project management applied to personal life.


How the Calculation of the Risk's Expected Monetary Value Can Mislead Our Project Reserves

In this episode, Ricardo discusses the common practice of calculating Expected Monetary Value (EMV) for risk management. EMV involves multiplying the probability of a risk by its impact to determine the exposure and, in turn, the financial reserves needed. He points out that using EMV for risk reserves is only effective when managing a large portfolio of risks as an insurance company does.


Organizations Want to Change Everything Without Changing Anything

In this episode, Ricardo discusses the standard rhetoric of change in organizations and individuals. While many talk about the need for change, they often struggle to take action. Ricardo emphasizes the importance of understanding the purpose of change and how it benefits individuals and organizations. Without a compelling reason to change, people tend to resist it due to fear of the unknown.


My Insights About Our First Research of Artificial Intelligence in Project Management - Part 2/2

In this "5 Minutes Podcast" episode, Ricardo discusses topics 6 to 10 of the research on AI in project management. Topic 6 reveals that 25 to 26% of experts see AI as a tool to enhance diversity and reduce bias, while Topic 7 highlights the concerns of 75% regarding AI's ethical implications, particularly in decision-making.


Occam's Razor: The Power of Simplicity in Project Management

In this episode, Ricardo introduces the timeless philosophy of Occam's Razor, a principle that champions simplicity. Coined by 14th Century philosopher William of Ockham, this concept prompts us to choose the most straightforward explanation or solution when faced with equally good alternatives. He discusses how this principle can streamline our approach to project management.


The Cobra Effect: Unraveling Second-Order Consequences

In today's episode, Ricardo guides you through the fascinating world of second-order consequences, focusing on the Cobra Effect. He explores how solutions that seemed reasonable in the short term can sometimes spawn more complex issues in a project environment if not adequately anticipated. Ricardo suggests you rethink your decision-making process and underline the importance of considering all potential outcomes before deciding.


3 Reasons Why We Make So Many Mistakes While Deciding

In this week's podcast, Ricardo discusses some common mistakes that can be made when making decisions in various contexts, such as a project. Our decision may have positive and negative consequences depending on the circumstances because we may have to sacrifice to achieve our objectives. To avoid errors, we must first understand the relationship between the decision and its outcomes (a good result does not always mean a good decision).


Why It Is Important to Recognize When It Is Time to Quit

In this week's episode, Ricardo talks about the moment to get out of a certain situation and discusses three essential points based on the book "Quit" by Annie Duke. People are socialized to believe that staying in a harmful situation is a virtue, so the idea of stopping what is toxic, whether professionally or personally, is often seen as a negative choice and a demonstration of fragility.


Using Technology Readiness Level (TRL) to Evaluate Technology Risks

Learn with Ricardo Vargas the main aspects of technology maturity and the costs and risks associated with using more or less mature technology. NASA developed this tool in the 70s, but many organizations currently use it to understand the risks associated with using a specific technology on a project. Be mindful that technology here is not only IT-based. It can be a new type of concrete, material, disruptive organizational design, etc.


The Relevance of the Right Project Governance

This week, Ricardo discusses decision-making processes in the context of projects, the "governance" component of the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) acronym. He explains that knowledge of governance, the organizational framework used to oversee projects, is crucial for effective decision-making. This structure and processes are used to make decisions about approving changes and planning the next steps based on project findings.