Since 2007, Ricardo Vargas has been publishing the 5 Minutes Podcast, where he addresses in a quick and practical way the main topics on project management, business agility, risk and crisis management, among other topics.
FULLY GENERATED BY ChatGPT with the transcript of the episode. NOTHING CHANGED FROM THE OUTCOME. This episode of the "5 Minutes Podcast with Ricardo Vargas" discusses chat GPT (Generative Pre-training Transformer), a tool that can generate natural language and improve various aspects of project management, including reporting, decision-making, and reducing workload.
This week, Ricardo discusses the 18th edition of the Global Risk Report, published annually by the World Economic Forum. This report presents a ranking of global risks and threats, both short-term and long-term. From an operational standpoint, the project or initiatives we are working on can be severely impacted by events that happen far away. Ricardo draws a parallel between the positioning of our project from the global perspective.
In this week's episode, Ricardo discusses the Gray Rhino concept described in Michele Wucker's book. Ricardo comments that this idea is the opposite of the Black Swan concept. Events and risks, according to the Black Swan concept, have a very low probability of happening but can have catastrophic consequences if they do occur.
In this week's episode, Ricardo talks about ChatGPT again and comments on people's lack of knowledge and ability to assess how these artificial intelligence mechanisms work. Many people believe that ChatGPT is a magic tool that can answer any question.
This week, Ricardo talks about the difficulties inherent in presenting a new product to the consumer. As an example, he mentions the recent launch of the artificial intelligence tool Google Bard, which is a competitor to ChatGPT. Incorrect information was provided in response to a child's question to the James Webb Telescope.
In this week's podcast, Ricardo discusses some common mistakes that can be made when making decisions in various contexts, such as a project. Our decision may have positive and negative consequences depending on the circumstances because we may have to sacrifice to achieve our objectives. To avoid errors, we must first understand the relationship between the decision and its outcomes (a good result does not always mean a good decision).
In this week's episode, Ricardo talks about moral hazards. He exemplifies the recent collapse of the North American financial system when the Silicon Valley Bank closed its doors. From then on, a debate arose about the extent to which the government should interfere, with the emergence of moral hazard, because if the government helps, other banks will also have this right.
Ricardo talks about the predictions we make for our projects and initiatives in this week's episode. He explains that we frequently have an illusion of control and that the perception of future reality is significantly more complicated than reality itself. Professor Philip Tetlock found that only 45 percent of almost 30,000 predictions made by various professionals were accurate.
This week on the podcast, Ricardo discusses Little's Law. The formula created by MIT Professor John Little for productive processes involving Lean and Six Sigma has applicability in project management, particularly in agile projects that use Kanban and Scrum boards.
In this week's episode, Ricardo discusses the rapid emergence of new AI applications on the market. According to one of the most prominent AI Twitter feeds @heybarsee, over 360 new AI applications have been developed in the past seven days. Ricardo argues that the proliferation of technologies employing artificial intelligence is inevitable. However, he also poses the following question:
Read Ricardo's reviews of some of the best technical books published.
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